Once a coveted safe Liberal seat, Toronto-St. Paul’s now a ‘swing riding’ and leaning Conservative, says pollster Lyle

A veteran GTA Liberal says that the Liberals will likely win the Toronto-St. Paul’s byelection, but with a single-digit margin.
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has called the high-stakes byelection in Toronto-St. Paul's, Ont. for June 24. A negative outcome of this election for the Liberals could have serious implications for Trudeau's future political plans, says Greg Lyle, president of Innovative Research.

The riding of Toronto-St. Paul’s, Ont., has been a safe Liberal riding for three decades, but the Conservative candidate appears to have an edge in carrying the seat in the June 24 byelection, says a veteran pollster.

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