Gwynne Dyer
Gwynne Dyer is a United Kingdom-based independent journalist who writes a column for The Hill Times.
Gwynne Dyer is a United Kingdom-based independent journalist who writes a column for The Hill Times.
Even before the United States and Israel attacked Iran, it was at least two years of hard work away from a working nuclear weapon.
There are many other factors to blame for fewer people having kids: housing affordability, unrealistic expectations promoted by online influencers, even the growing scarcity of entry-level jobs. But the most persuasive is phones, phones, phones.
Any American commitment to defend Taiwan from China’s aggression died years ago when Russia began its invasion of Ukraine and the U.S. did not come to its defence. But that doesn’t mean the island is doomed.
Russian President Vladimir Putin sometimes threatens to go nuclear, but his bluffs are as transparent as U.S President Donald Trump’s threats of violence ‘like nobody has ever seen before.’
Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso all have Islamist armed groups that seek absolute power, and ethnic minorities that feel oppressed. This region is doomed to suffer, and foreign military intervention will only intensify the suffering.
The Oil Age is ending because the real cost of using fossil fuels—runaway climate change and war—is getting too great to bear, and other, cheaper energy sources are available.
Why, more than 50 years after most countries in sub-Saharan Africa got their independence, do almost all of them still teach the language of their former colonial ruler in their schools?
This futile war has put the entire global economy—and more importantly for Donald Trump, the American economy—at risk. The longer the war lasts, the stronger Iran’s position becomes.
Several American experts are already talking about the possibility of a civil war, and countries that are fighting internally automatically lose the crown.
We are entering a period where some major changes in climate policy will need to happen quite fast—a decade or two—if we are to avoid ending up on full ‘Hothouse Earth’ by the end of the century.
Repairing the damage done in 16 years under Viktor Orban will take time: the judiciary’s been packed, the government’s a kleptocracy, and most of the media is owned by the former populist leader’s cronies.
After the Second World War, a brutal realism took root: hard-nosed calculations about how to thwart the many countries that have designs on their neighbours, and the worse threat of nuclear war.
Despite the American president’s ludicrous claims to the contrary, there is no deal on the table, no meaningful negotiations of any kind underway with Iran.
An alliance with no American input would be quite adequate to ensure the safety of western and central Europe, although in the short term it is a bit lacking in terms of nuclear deterrence.
Iran’s new leaders just don’t care what the Americans do. They believe their control of the Strait of Hormuz beats every card in American hands—and they are probably right.
What makes it interesting is that this time Hungary’s Prime Minister Viktor Orbán may lose. The election is due on April 12, and for months now his Fidesz Party has trailed the opposition Tisza Party by a wide margin—generally around 10 per cent. The real cause of his problems is a stagnant economy, but he can’t fix that and he has started to panic.