Liberals ride wave in federal polls as widening gender, age gaps squeeze Conservatives’ coalition

As the Liberals post their largest lead since Prime Minister Mark Carney was chosen to lead the party, the Conservatives are feeling the pinch from multiple age brackets and a growing chasm among women voters, says Abacus Data CEO David Coletto.

Prime Minister Mark Carney, right, is now leading Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre among both the youngest and oldest cohorts of voters, and polling with more than 50 per cent of support among women voters.The Hill Times photographs by Andrew Meade and illustration by Neena Singhal

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BY STUART BENSON

February 25, 2026

The Liberals’ polling fortunes are rising in nearly every demographic and province across the country as a growing gender and generational gap continues to compress the Conservatives' support from both sides, pollsters say.

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