Seat projections a ‘headache,’ but overall ‘good showing’ for polls in this election: pollsters

Pollster Darrell Bricker says if the pattern created in this election persists, Canada is moving to 'a two-party political system in which progressives are going to be facing off against conservatives.'

Prime Minister Mark Carney and the Liberals will form a minority government with 168 seats after the April 28 federal election, according to preliminary results. The Conservatives and party leader Pierre Poilievre are set to remain in opposition with 144 seats.The Hill Times photographs by Andrew Meade and illustration by Joey Sabourin

News

BY JESSE CNOCKAERT

May 4, 2025

Pollsters had a good showing on election day last week in terms of predicting the Liberal victory and capturing the tightening race between the parties, but shifting regional dynamics and other disruptions since the most recent federal elections made seat projections “hard...

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