Election to likely hinge on 50 most competitive ridings, but things could shift greatly by polling day, say politicos

This election's ballot question is twofold: is it time for change, and who is best suited to stand up to Donald Trump, says pollster Greg Lyle.

Liberal Leader Mark Carney, left, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh, and Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-François Blanchet. With ongoing, wild swings in public opinion, the list of vulnerable ridings for the four federal parties could change significantly by election time, say pollsters Greg Lyle and Earl Washburn.The Hill Times photograph by Andrew Meade

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BY ABBAS RANA

March 31, 2025

With American tariffs and calls for change creating extreme voter volatility, the federal election outcome will depend on tight races, but the list of battleground ridings may shift before the campaign ends—making it challenging for field organizers to decide where to depl...

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