Expected Conservative win in Monday’s Durham byelection will be measured against O’Toole’s winning margins, say political players

In Durham, the Tories have been outperforming the national party average by about a 12 per cent margin, so it remains to be seen if Jamil Jivani can meet this benchmark, says Fred DeLorey, former Conservative campaign director.
Conservative Party candidate Jamil Jivani is expected to win the March 4 by-election handily. Pundits are watching if he can win by the same margins that his predecessor Erin O'Toole won during his 11-year parliamentary career.

With the Conservatives expected to handily win the March 4 byelection in Durham, Ont., all eyes are on Jamil Jivani’s winning margins in comparison to Erin O’Toole’s win in the same riding in the 2012 byelection and the subsequent general elections, say some political ...

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