Shifts in interest rates or inflation could ‘totally change the picture’ on fiscal sustainability, says PBO

'Even though there is fiscal flexibility, it doesn't mean that governments have to use it,' says Parliamentary Budget Officer Yves Giroux.
Last month, the Parliamentary Budget Office released its 2023 fiscal sustainability report. Parliamentary Budget Officer Yves Giroux told The Hill Times that some of the key assumptions in the report are that inflation will return to about 2 per cent, and interest rates will return to a neutral monetary policy over the long term.

A report last month from the Parliamentary Budget Office found that fiscal policy in Canada is sustainable over the long term—but that conclusion is based on a series of “very important assumptions” that, if false, would “totally change the picture,” cautions Yves ...

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