Liberals start with a fairly strong lead, but achieving a majority looking like an uphill climb

The current outlook gives Trudeau only about a 50-50 chance of achieving the majority government that was, after all, the aim of this whole endeavour.
Liberal Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is pictured above at an Aug. 18 announcement in Vancouver. NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh is pictured below at an Aug. 16 announcement in Toronto. With three dominant parties, there’s always the possibility that a strong showing by the NDP could cut into the Liberal vote, possibly being the deciding factor in what could be a volatile outcome, writes Les Whittington.
OTTAWA—Six weeks ago, an election at summer’s end looked like a pretty good bet to produce a majority victory for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and the Liberals. Canadians were buoyant about the apparent fading out of the pandemic, vaccination targets were being achieved, virus cases were way d...

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