Liberals lose, but Bloc breakup could be a boon to Conservatives, NDP: pollster
But if Bloc voters don’t turn out in 2019, other analysts say Liberals benefit. In the 21 ridings where Bloc candidates came first or second in 2015, the Liberals were their next closest competitors in all but five.

With the Bloc Québécois in crisis, the ridings it holds could flip to the NDP or Conservative Party, says Quebec pollster Jean-Marc Léger, but Liberals stand to lose the most in the tight three- or four-way races typical in ridings where the Bloc has had a chance....
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