Hard to sugar coat Conservatives’ polling data

It suggests the party may have lost 10 points in national support, or roughly a quarter of the people who voted for them in 2011. The Conservatives benefit from a division of the centre-left vote, but the good news ends there.

OTTAWA—Buoyed by the victory of their provincial cousins in Alberta, the federal New Democrats have moved into a three-way tie with the Liberals and Conservatives. As the NDP eats into the Liberals’ vote, the Conservatives stand to benefit from a divid...

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