Last Monday was a both great night for the Tories, and a disaster

And both of those things are true in equal measure. It’s not spin to point that out—frankly, it’s spin to not point that out. The election result is maybe the most mixed political signal I’ve ever seen in my professional life. It’s like some weird piece of art that completely changes shape if you view it at slightly different angles.
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre at a rally at Olde Stanley’s Maple Lane Farm in Edwards, Ont., on April 27, 2025.

TORONTO—“I don’t know what the fuck is happening.” That was the most memorable little bit of election-night feedback I got from a friend. I won’t identify the friend beyond saying they were in a senior role in the Conservative campaign. And they basically captured...

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