Political players predict Carney to win, but questions linger about minority or majority outcome

Stephen Carter called the Liberal lead in the polls 'a comeback for the ages,' and Jaime Watt said if the Liberals don’t win, 'the pollsters will need to go out of business.'

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, left, did such a good job last year of attacking the Liberal Party—now led by Mark Carney, centre—and the NDP led by Jagmeet Singh, right, that he’s laid the foundations for his own election difficulty, said pollster Nik Nanos.The Hill Times photographs by Andrew Meade

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BY JESSE CNOCKAERT

April 28, 2025

Prime Minister Mark Carney is in a strong position to secure a win in Canada’s federal election, although whether a Liberal minority or majority will result after the votes are counted remains a question for some strategists and pollsters.

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