Schrödinger’s island: Taiwan election 2024

If there were a referendum in Taiwan today on declaring independence from China (and Beijing didn’t threaten to invade to stop it), a large majority of Taiwanese would vote ‘yes.’ But they are also realists.

Dr. Harry H.J. Tseng, the representative of the Taipei Economic and Cultural Office in Canada, pictured in October 2023 delivering his speech at the Taiwan national day celebration in Ottawa.The Hill Times photograph by Sam Garcia

Opinion

BY GWYNNE DYER

January 10, 2024

Taiwan’s fate is as unknowable as usual, even though we know who the next president will be. William Lai, vice-president under outgoing President Tsai Ing-Wen, will almost certainly win the election on Saturday, because the two opposition parties failed to agree on a join...

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