The play of politics: elections and leaders

In Portage-Lisgar, Man., the Conservative vote increased by 12 per cent, exceeding the party’s collective loss of nine per cent in the other three ridings. So, in fact overall, the Tories remain well-positioned to win the next election.
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, left, and Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre. By 2025, Trudeau will be at or near the decade ceiling. Unlike his father in 1980, there will be no comeback if he loses. We are in an era when major party leaders get one chance to win an election and if they fail, they're out, writes Nelson Wiseman.

TORONTO—Reading the tea leaves from the four recent federal byelections as pointers to what may happen in the next general election may mislead because the election is unlikely to take place before 2025. Much that is unforeseeable can and will happen before then. When the ...

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