Covid-19: the exit problem

Unless this particular coronavirus fails to cause a second wave of infections next winter—it isn’t certain—we will probably be stuck in lockdown most of the time until an effective vaccine becomes widely available, probably no sooner than 18 months from now. August of 2021, let’s say.

The United States, as a whole, is still in 'mitigation,' because it takes a long time to turn a supertanker like Donald Trump all the way around, but New York and some other big American cities and states have already moved on to suppression.Image courtesy of Needpix.com

Opinion

BY GWYNNE DYER

March 23, 2020

LONDON, U.K.—Most of the countries in Asia, Europe, and North America are now in lockdown to slow the spread of the COVID-19 virus. This is the "suppression" strategy, and it should keep the death rate from going exponential for a while. The unanswered question is: what do we do next? There is no...

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