Complicating matters is the closeness of the race, meaning the potential prize may not be all that is seems. If we are headed toward a minority, as the polls would suggest, it opens the door to a whole new level of speculation. Will it trigger leadership reviews? Are the supporting parties in any financial position to force a subsequent early election? Who would hold the balance of power? What would a coalition agreement look like? When would Parliament sit again and how would the role of an independent Senate change? Finally, given the difficulty the Conservatives may have finding a willing dance partner, the actual winner could lose and the loser could win.