Liberals win when they’re compared to alternatives, but lose when their record is in the news

The Conservatives have a lead among voters who believe in the Canadian Dream, but are struggling to get a piece of it. The Conservative Party recently released an ad appealing directly to people who feel that way.
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, left, enters this fall's election campaign with a stronger base of voters than former prime minister Stephen Harper did prior to his loss in 2015, but Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer has an advantage with voters struggling to reach their Canadian dream, writes Greg Lyle.
VANCOUVER—It would be nice if every vote mattered the same, but it isn’t true. There are 150 seats where we already have a pretty good idea of who is going to win. Sixty-five seats are historically strong Conservative seats that recent polls say are very likely to continue to go Conservative. T...

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