Byelections have limited potential for fortune-telling

We had very low voter turnouts, expected lower support for the government, and, by inertia, some increased support for the opposition. Everything according to script.
Liberal Mona Fortier won the recent byelection in Ottawa-Vanier, Ont., as all five byelections held on April 3 returned members from the same party as before.
TORONTO—Reading the news about last week’s federal byelections, you might get the impression that the Trudeau government is in trouble and the Conservatives are on the rise, when in fact both interpretations are wrong. Mid-term elections are traditionally problematic for every government. Vote...

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