Byelections have limited potential for fortune-telling
We had very low voter turnouts, expected lower support for the government, and, by inertia, some increased support for the opposition. Everything according to script.

TORONTO—Reading the news about last week’s federal byelections, you might get the impression that the Trudeau government is in trouble and the Conservatives are on the rise, when in fact both interpretations are wrong.
Mid-term elections are traditionally problematic for every government. Vote...
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