Importance of uncertainty in trying to understand politicians’ behaviour

The nature, sources and consequences of pervasive uncertainty in the political arena.

Pliny the Elder ( 23-79AD) observed that "In these matters [ politics] the only certainty is that nothing is certain." Herodotus (c.484 BC - c. 409 BC)—often called the father of history—claimed that "Chances rule men and not men chances."The purpose of this piece is to examine the n...

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