Support for Alberta separation ‘remarkably stable’ and low federalist turnout could make final referendum outcome closer than expected, say politicos

About 658,000 Albertans have requested special mail-in ballots and a vast majority of these are likely to vote for the 'stay' side, says Duane Bratt. But pollster Janet Brown says separatist support remains 'remarkably stable,' and ex-MP Jay Hill says that side wants to send a strong message to Mark Carney.

Since Mark Carney took over as prime minister last year, Albertans now appear to be “just a little less alarmed” about their relationship with the governing Liberals, says pollster Janet Brown. The Hill Times photograph by Andrew Meade

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BY ABBAS RANA

October 5, 2026

The federalist side wants to win the Oct. 19 Alberta separation referendum by a decisive margin to protect Alberta’s reputation as a safe place to invest, but the support for the “leave” side remains “remarkably stable," and pundits say a high turnout on that side co...

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