There’s a ‘fundamental structural change’ going on in voting intentions

And it's similar to the Reform wave in 1993 and the merger of the Progressive Conservative and Canadian Alliance parties in 2004. The data is too new to make any significant or accurate predictions.

Seat projections during an election campaign can stimulate interest, but they're also tricky to do on national numbers alone, say polling experts viewing last week's NDP surge in public opinion polls as an anomaly to predicting where the party can pick up seats in the House of Commons.

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