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Expert predictions fail because world is unpredictable, period

Columnist Dan Gardner says the world is fantastically complex. Chaos theory and complexity theory give us very good reasons for thinking we will never be able to predict it in important ways.

The world is complex and inherently unpredictable, says author and newspaper columnist Dan Gardner, but that doesn't stop the world's experts from making predictions, nor does it stop the general public from believing them.

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